Well, hasn't this month just been shit-tastic so far! I've been playing better than I normally do and have been totally focused and making great plays....I SHOULD be up about $10-$15 this month already which would be a stellar start. But I've had some horrible luck. The following have all happened within the past 1500 hands.
AK vs AJ - Flop A92, all-in on the flop - Chance to win = 88.2%
Pot was $4.60 and he hit his jack on the river.
QQ vs A6 - Flop 6J2, all-in on the flop - Chance to win = 79.8%
Pot was $4.30 and he hit his ace on the turn.
67 vs 99 - Flop 568, turn 4 = straight for me - Chance to win on turn = 93%
Pot was $4.00 when I had the best hand. He catches a 7 on the river making a higher straight for him. Luckily like an idiot he only bet another .25 when he hit so I didn't lose much on the river.
Then the worst beat I've ever taken. I have to laugh at this one.
http://www.pokerhand.org/?4588059
Click the "Show results" link at the bottom.
Runner-runner for a higher full house. At the time the money went all-in I had a 98.1% chance to win the hand. That's the biggest lead I've ever had where I end up losing. When the T hit on the turn I figured "Wow, nice try asshole" since that gave me a full house but was scary. Then the Ace hit. Ouch!
So I guess I'm happy that I'm playing awesome this month (my average pot equity when I get all-in is 83% this month, including an AK vs AK draw) but it sucks that I'm not winning the hands that I should. If I even win half of those hands I'm up for the month. Proof that poker still contains an element of luck. I know that over time I will beat these people by putting them in that same situation over and over but it stings when you lose big pots as big favorites that many times in a row.
Oh well. Time to look at funny pictures and stop venting.
Back to the grind!
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